Drift

AIM-9X Block II Sidewinder

AIM-9X · Navy · Raytheon

−14% $4.2B (2011) → $3.6B (2014)
AIM-9X Block II Sidewinder: cost trajectory from $4.2B in 2011 to $3.6B in 2014, −14% growth. Explore AIM-9X interactively → Download 1-page brief (PDF)
Baseline
$4.2B (2011)
Current estimate
$3.6B (2014)
Cost growth
−14%
Units
6000 → 6000
Quantity change
0%
Unit-cost change
−14%
IOC
2015 (planned) → 2015
Schedule slip
0 yr
Cost basis
BY
Confidence
high · reconciled
Same 6,000 missiles, 14% less money than baselined — and still 19% under baseline four years later. Development more than doubled (testing was suspended for a year over performance issues); cheaper production more than paid for it.

Source: GAO-15-342SP, AIM-9X Block II profile p.61 — constant FY2015 $M: first full estimate 12/2011 $4,231.3M / 6,000 missiles vs 08/2014 $3,622.9M / 6,000; R&D +107.8%, procurement −19.8%. GAO-19-336SP App. V p.203: still −19.5% vs first full at Dec 2017 (FY2019$).

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Drift — an independent project by Aous Abdo · Analytica DSS, built from public GAO, CRS and DoD sources. Cost growth has many causes; a larger number is not by itself evidence of mismanagement. How this is built · Explore the data →