Drift

F-22 Raptor

F-22 · Air Force · Lockheed Martin · truncated

−22% $86.6B (1991) → $67.3B (2010)
F-22 Raptor: cost trajectory from $86.6B in 1991 to $67.3B in 2010, −22% growth. Explore F-22 interactively → Download 1-page brief (PDF)
Baseline
$86.6B (1991)
Current estimate
$67.3B (2010)
Cost growth
−22%
Units
648 → 187
Quantity change
−71%
Unit-cost change
+169%
IOC
1990s (planned) → 2005
Schedule slip
—
Cost basis
TY
Confidence
medium · reconciled
Total acquisition FELL 22% — but the buy was gutted 648 → 187 (originally ~750), so program acquisition UNIT cost soared to ~$369M/jet. The textbook truncation death-spiral: fixed R&D spread over a quarter of the planned fleet. (1991 vs 2010 are different then-year bases.)

Source: GAO/NSIAD-95-59 (1991 Milestone II baseline: $86.6B, 648 aircraft); CRS RL31673 + F-22 SAR Dec 31 2010 ($67.3B then-year, full 195-aircraft / 187-production program). 1991 and 2010 are different then-year bases.

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Drift — an independent project by Aous Abdo, built from public GAO, CRS and DoD sources. Cost growth has many causes; a larger number is not by itself evidence of mismanagement. How this is built · Explore the data →