Drift

Land Warrior

Land Warrior · Army · General Dynamics · cancelled

+30% $2.7B (2003) → $3.5B (2006)
Land Warrior: cost trajectory from $2.7B in 2003 to $3.5B in 2006, +30% growth. Explore Land Warrior interactively → Download 1-page brief (PDF)
Baseline
$2.7B (2003)
Current estimate
$3.5B (2006)
Cost growth
+30%
Units
15985 → 24849
Quantity change
+55%
Unit-cost change
−16%
IOC
2009 (planned) → Cancelled 2007
Schedule slip
Cost basis
BY
Confidence
medium · reconciled
Thirteen years, three restructures, and a quantity plan that swung 16,000 → 85,000 → 25,000 before the Army stopped paying in 2007. At the end unit cost was actually 16% BELOW baseline — the program died of shifting scope and budgets, not unit-cost growth. One Stryker battalion took its gear to Iraq anyway. (Confidence medium: the 2003 baseline post-dates two restructures.)

Documented events

Source: GAO-07-406SP, Land Warrior profile pp.99-100 — constant FY2007 $M: first full estimate 02/2003 $2,692.8M / 15,985 systems vs 08/2006 $3,504.0M / 24,849; unit cost −16.3%; cancellation stated in the same profile. Interim plan swung to 85,412 systems / $9,274.6M (GAO-06-391, FY2006$ — different basis, not mixed in). Program start Aug 1994; cycle 145 → 175 months.

Drift — an independent project by Aous Abdo · Analytica DSS, built from public GAO, CRS and DoD sources. Cost growth has many causes; a larger number is not by itself evidence of mismanagement. How this is built · Explore the data →