Drift

P-8A Poseidon

P-8A · Navy · Boeing

+5% $31.9B (2004) → $33.6B (2012)
P-8A Poseidon: cost trajectory from $31.9B in 2004 to $33.6B in 2012, +5% growth. Explore P-8A interactively → Download 1-page brief (PDF)
Baseline
$31.9B (2004)
Current estimate
$33.6B (2012)
Cost growth
+5%
Units
115 → 122
Quantity change
+6%
Unit-cost change
−1%
IOC
2013 (planned) → 2013
Schedule slip
0 yr
Cost basis
BY
Confidence
high · reconciled
A 737 off Boeing’s commercial line with a sonar rack in the back — and one of the only MDAPs that kept its 2004 promise: total up ~5% while the Navy ADDED seven aircraft, so the per-aircraft price actually fell slightly. Delivered on the original 160-month schedule.

Source: GAO-13-294SP, P-8A assessment p.109 — Program Performance table, constant FY2013 $M: first full estimate 06/2004 $31,935.9M / 115 aircraft vs latest 08/2012 $33,637.7M / 122; PAUC −0.7%; IOC 7/2013, cycle time unchanged. Corroborated by GAO-15-342SP Table 7 (+0.4% FY15$) and GAO-19-336SP Table 20 (+5.3% FY19$).

Drift — an independent project by Aous Abdo · Analytica DSS, built from public GAO, CRS and DoD sources. Cost growth has many causes; a larger number is not by itself evidence of mismanagement. How this is built · Explore the data →