Drift

B-52 CERP (re-engine)

B-52 CERP · Air Force · Boeing / Rolls-Royce

+6% $9.0B (2020) → $9.5B (2023)
B-52 CERP (re-engine): cost trajectory from $9.0B in 2020 to $9.5B in 2023, +6% growth. Explore B-52 CERP interactively → Download 1-page brief (PDF)
Baseline
$9.0B (2020)
Current estimate
$9.5B (2023)
Cost growth
+6%
Units
76 → 76
Quantity change
0%
Unit-cost change
+6%
IOC
2030s (planned) → 2033 (3-yr slip)
Schedule slip
—
Cost basis
BY
Confidence
medium · unreconciled
Early and unstable: +6% (BY2019) against the statutory administrative baseline — but still NO Milestone B or APB, which has slipped ~3 years (now planned 3Q 2026, pending an Air Force affordability study of B-52H vs B-52J). AF officials cited CERP-alone growth toward ~$15B (vs $12.5B in 2021) with basis unstated — it tracks the then-year trajectory; never mix it with the BY2019 pair. No CERP Nunn-McCurdy breach exists (the 2024 breach was the separate B-52 RMP). GAO excludes CERP from portfolio totals until an official post-MTA estimate exists; revisit at MS B.

Source: B-52J CERP MSAR Dec 2023: $8,959.0M (FY22-NDAA-directed administrative baseline = AFCAA estimate of Mar 2020) → $9,512.4M, both BY2019$ (TY $12,961.6M); Dec 2022 SAR confirms the prior pair. GAO-25-107569 pp.65-66; GAO-26-108457 pp.79-80. STILL PRE-MILESTONE-B — no APB as of Jul 2026 (MS B planned 3Q 2026, held by an affordability study).

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Drift — an independent project by Aous Abdo · Analytica DSS, built from public GAO, CRS and DoD sources. Cost growth has many causes; a larger number is not by itself evidence of mismanagement. How this is built · Explore the data →