Drift

JTRS Ground Mobile Radios

JTRS GMR · Army · Boeing · cancelled

−8% $17.2B (2002) → $15.9B (2011)
JTRS Ground Mobile Radios: cost trajectory from $17.2B in 2002 to $15.9B in 2011, −8% growth. Explore JTRS GMR interactively → Download 1-page brief (PDF)
Baseline
$17.2B (2002)
Current estimate
$15.9B (2011)
Cost growth
−8%
Units
108388 → 87079
Quantity change
−20%
Unit-cost change
+15%
IOC
2013 (planned) → Cancelled 2011
Schedule slip
—
Cost basis
BY
Confidence
high · reconciled
The headline total drifted DOWN — because the buy was shrinking. Development cost grew 69%, the schedule stretched from 55 to 127 months, and after nine years DoD cancelled it before production: the stated post-cancellation total is 90% below the first full estimate, nearly all of it sunk development.

Documented events

Source: GAO-11-233SP, JTRS GMR profile pp.93-94 — constant FY2011 $M: first full estimate 06/2002 $17,164.7M / 108,388 radios vs 01/2011 $15,867.7M / 87,079; R&D +68.9%, unit cost +15.1%, cycle 55 → 127 months. GAO-13-294SP p.17 + Table 10 p.165: cancelled 2011; post-cancellation total $1,806M vs $17,928M first full (FY2013$), −89.9%.

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Drift — an independent project by Aous Abdo · Analytica DSS, built from public GAO, CRS and DoD sources. Cost growth has many causes; a larger number is not by itself evidence of mismanagement. How this is built · Explore the data →